Selection Sunday is almost here, and while South Carolina is virtually a lock for the No. 1 seed, there’s still a lot that’s up in the air.
Currently, Iowa, Stanford and USC are projected as the other No. 1 seeds, according to ESPN's Bracketology. This would be Stanford’s 14th tournament as a 1-seed, good for third-most behind Tennessee and UConn. Both have 22 1-seeds apiece.
Iowa and Southern California bolstered their cases for a 1-seed, winning their respective conference tournaments last weekend. Should they be named a 1-seed, it would be the Hawkeye’s third and first since 1992. USC has been a 1-seed four times, but this would be their first 1-seed since 1986.
Could Texas sneak in as a 1-seed? Currently, the Longhorns are projected by ESPN as a 2-seed in the Portland regional. But having won the Big 12 championship, Texas could have a case for a 1-seed.
"They looked like a Final Four team," Iowa State coach Bill Fennelly said after his team’s loss in the Big 12 championship.
Having a 1-seed isn’t a guarantee to make the Final Four, although since the first D-I women’s basketball tournament, 56.1% of No. 1 seeds have made the Final Four. In 35 out of 41 years, there have been at least two No. 1 seeds to make the Final Four. In 2023, South Carolina and Virginia Tech were the two 1-seeds to reach the Final Four.
On the flip side, the latest ESPN projections have UConn as a 3-seed and LSU as a 2-seed.
LSU, UCLA and Ohio State rank ahead of the Huskies, who were Big East tournament champions, along with Texas. Of those four, only Texas won its tournament championship, and UConn's last loss came on Feb. 11 against South Carolina.
UConn was last a 3-seed in 2005, losing that year in the Sweet 16. They’ve never won the tournament as a 3-seed. As Big East champions, one could make a case for UConn to be a 2-seed, although this year they lost to both Texas and UCLA. They’ve also only ever won the tournament as a 2-seed one time: in 2004, when they beat Tennessee for the title.
Tune in to Selection Sunday at 8pm ET on ESPN.