It was a wild ride getting here, but aside from No. 10 Creighton, the Elite Eight is populated with the teams you’d expect. Still, among those Nos. 1, 2 and 3 seeds are a mixture of first-timers and mainstays.

Stanford, South Carolina, UConn and Louisville are all names we associate with deep tournament runs, while this is Creighton’s first Elite Eight. Michigan joins the Bluejays in making its Elite Eight debut, and Texas is back for the second year in a row after going just two other times in the last 20 years. Rounding out the list is NC State, making its second Elite Eight in history and first since 1998.

On Sunday and Monday, the field will cut in half once more, setting the ever-elusive Final Four bracket.

Here’s how I see the Elite Eight matchups playing out.

No. 1 South Carolina over No. 10 Creighton

Creighton has cemented itself as a tournament darling, but I don’t see its historic run going any further. The Bluejays’ motion offense can be successful against anyone, but against South Carolina, the game will come down to defending the Gamecocks.

Creighton was successful against Iowa and Iowa State because they were able to key in on one or two players, but South Carolina has offensive talent at almost every position. Between Aliyah Boston, Destanni Henderson and Zia Cooke, the Gamecocks have too much firepower on the attack. Brea Beal, Victoria Saxton, and Kamilla Cardoso bring a size and strength off the bench that Creighton has yet to run into.

No. 1 Stanford over No. 2 Texas

Texas burst onto the scene this year with an upset of Stanford on Nov. 14. The Longhorns still play the same intense, up-and-down style of basketball as they did in November, but Stanford is no longer plagued with the same issues. Back then, the Cardinal were struggling to replace point guard Kiana Williams, and without her, they couldn’t take care of the ball. Since then, Lacie Hull and Anna Wilson have settled into the role, splitting time running Stanford’s offense.

In the first three games of the tournament, Stanford’s offense has been balanced and in sync. Against Montana State and Kansas, 12 different players recorded at least a point in each game, and against Maryland, the Cardinal had eight scorers. Texas has been playing great basketball, but it’s hard to imagine anyone beating Stanford right now.

No. 2 UConn over No. 1 NC State

In its 75-58 win over a talented Indiana squad, UConn officially proved that the hurdles of the regular season are over. The Huskies played as a cohesive unit, and everyone contributed to the result.

Williams to Edwards connection for 2️⃣🔥 #MarchMadness x @UConnWBB pic.twitter.com/6lWcVu8by1

— NCAA March Madness (@MarchMadnessWBB) March 26, 2022

Paige Bueckers and Christyn Williams each had 15 points, while Azzi Fudd showed off her 3-point shooting, adding 13 points of her own. Inside, Aaliyah Edwards and Olivia Nelson-Ododa were tough, combining for 19 points and 24 rebounds. Early in the season, those two didn’t have the goods to contend with an elite post player like Elissa Cunane, but they do now. Both teams have talented guards, but UConn has the edge in terms of overall skill. This game could be close, but I expect to see the Huskies make their 22nd Final Four.

No. 1 Louisville over No. 3 Michigan

Louisville is a team that forces a lot of turnovers. The Cardinals caused Tennessee to commit 18 miscues, which turned into 21 points on the other end. And Michigan is a team that commits a lot of turnovers. Per Her Hoop Stats, the Wolverines rank 245th in the country (out of 356) in turnovers per game, coughing the ball up 15.7 times per game. Put those together, and you have an advantage for Louisville.

Michigan’s greatest strength comes in the form of post player Naz Hillmon, and while I don’t expect Louisville to shut her down entirely, they do have the skills to limit her. Between Emily Engstler (6-foot-1), Olivia Cochran (6-3) and Liz Dixon (6-5), the Cardinals have a solid rotation of players to throw at Hillmon.

Eden Laase is a contributing writer at Just Women’s Sports. She previously ran her own high school sports website in Michigan after covering college hockey and interning at Sports Illustrated. Follow her on Twitter @eden_laase.

In this week's episode of The Late Sub, host Claire Watkins gives a postmortem on this era of the Las Vegas Aces, before claiming the Liberty as WNBA championship frontrunners and prepping for Tuesday's Game 5 semifinal between the Lynx and the Sun.

Then, she chats about Orlando’s incredible run to the 2024 NWSL Shield, the individual NWSL records primed to fall, and aimlessness further down the league table.

The Late Sub with Claire Watkins brings you the latest news and freshest takes in women’s sports. This is the weekly rundown you’ve been missing, covering the USWNT, NWSL, WNBA, college hoops, and whatever else is popping off in women’s sports each week. Special guest appearances with the biggest names in women’s sports make The Late Sub a must-listen for every fan. Follow Claire on X/Twitter @ScoutRipley and subscribe to the Just Women’s Sports newsletter for more.

Subscribe to The Late Sub to never miss an episode.

After splitting their first four games, tonight's Game 5 semifinal will determine who will go on to face New York in the 2024 WNBA Finals: the Minnesota Lynx or the Connecticut Sun.

The two teams' best-of-five series has been the tightest of the 2024 postseason thus far. Both claimed one road win and one at home, and even the series score sheet is wildly close, with the Lynx putting up 321 points across the four games and the Sun posting 315.

View this post on Instagram

A post shared by Just Women’s Sports (@justwomenssports)

New WNBA season, same elimination game matchup

Tonight's tilt marks the pair's second-straight season competing in a winner-takes-all playoff showdown after the Sun beat the Lynx 90-75 in Game 3 of 2023's first round.

"At this point, you know each other inside and out," said Sun coach Stephanie White after Sunday's win. "It's about players making plays. It’s about the extra efforts. The hustle plays. It's about not being denied and finding something deep inside of you that allows you to come out on top."

Unlike the Lynx, the Sun have the added motivation of hunting a franchise-first WNBA championship. Minnesota, on the other hand, boasts four titles already, most recently in 2017.

It's something top-of-mind for veteran Sun forward DeWanna Bonner, who called the atmosphere in Minneapolis for Game 1 and 2 "absolutely insane."

"I can only imagine what it will be like in a Game 5. We know that," Bonner continued. "I wouldn’t tell the team anything other than focus in on each other. They have great fans, championship fans. They’ve won multiple championships. They’re hungry for another one."

Stats pave a complicated road to the Finals

To overcome Minnesota's hunger, Connecticut will likely defer to Sunday's winning formula. The return of guard Ty Harris from injury had an immediate impact, as did the Sun's performance behind the arc — Connecticut sank 53% of their three-pointers while the Lynx failed to crack 40%.

For their part, Minnesota will be aiming to stifle Connecticut's offense, which saw five Sun players score double-digits on Sunday.

"We have to get back to what got us in this position in the first place, which is our defense," noted Lynx star Napheesa Collier, the 2024 Defensive Player of the Year.

How to watch Sun vs. Lynx in Game 5 of the 2024 WNBA semifinals

The Sun and Lynx will tip off in Minneapolis at 8 PM ET tonight, with live broadcast and streaming coverage on ESPN2.

With three regular-season matches left, the still-undefeated Orlando Pride clinched the 2024 NWSL Shield with Sunday's rainy 2-0 win over the second-place Washington Spirit.

Marta converted the 57th-minute game-winning penalty kick, securing her team's first-ever piece of hardware with her eighth goal of the season.

View this post on Instagram

A post shared by Just Women’s Sports (@justwomenssports)

"I stayed here because I want to make history with this team," the Brazilian soccer icon, who's been with the Pride for eight years, said afterwards. "And then we did tonight, and then we go for more."

Though the Pride's dominance this season is unmatched, Washington was notably without several key players. Between injuries and yellow card suspensions, the Spirit faced Orlando without Trinity Rodman, Casey Krueger, Hal Hershfelt, Leicy Santos, or Ouleye Sarr.

Chawinga ties Kerr's NWSL scoring record

It took less than two minutes for Kansas City's Temwa Chawinga to find the back of the net in Saturday's 2-0 win over Louisville, tying former Chicago Red Star Sam Kerr's single-season NWSL scoring record with her 18th goal.

With three matchdays to go, the Malawian striker is all but guaranteed to upend Kerr's 2019 record.

"I think that Temwa's ability to get behind the line and then drive towards the goal, and being aggressive going towards the goal, is something that differentiates her," KC head coach Vlatko Andonovski said after the match. "Temwa's just a pure goalscorer. We're happy that she's done it for us this season and hopefully she continues to do it."

View this post on Instagram

A post shared by Just Women’s Sports (@justwomenssports)

Other noteworthy NWSL results

In other NWSL news, fifth-place North Carolina punched their postseason ticket with Saturday's 2-1 win over San Diego. The day before, last-place Houston become the first club eliminated from the 2024 playoff picture.

Gotham’s 5-1 Saturday blowout of Bay has the defending NWSL champs achingly close to leaping second-place Washington on the table. The two clubs are tied for points, with the Spirit's shrinking goal differential giving them the tenuous edge.

On the other hand, Saturday's 2-1 loss to 12th-place Utah extended Portland's NWSL winless streak to seven matches. The Thorns are remarkably still in seventh-place, but sit tied for points with eighth-place Bay FC. With lower-table teams hungry to rise above the postseason cutoff line, every match left could see Portland fall from contention.

Sunday's WNBA semifinals action saw top-seeded New York end back-to-back defending champion Las Vegas's season while the Connecticut Sun staved off elimination to force a deciding Game 5 against the Minnesota Lynx.

New York ends Aces' WNBA three-peat campaign

The Liberty claimed a second-straight trip to the WNBA Finals with Sunday's 76-62 victory​ over the Aces, ending to the defending champs' three-peat dream in four semifinal matchups.

After being held to just four points in Game 3, Sabrina Ionescu led the Liberty with 22 points. Teammate Breanna Stewart was just behind with a 19-point, 14-rebound double-double.

Though New York led nearly wire-to-wire, Las Vegas kept Game 4 within reach, thanks in large part to three-time MVP A'ja Wilson's 19 points, 10 rebounds, and five blocks. The Aces trailed by just two points after three quarters, but a 16-2 fourth-quarter Liberty run ultimately earned them the win.

"They've been the best team all year — let's be real," Las Vegas head coach Becky Hammon said about New York after the game. "Their group earned it. They earned it all year."

Having walked away disappointed last season, New York — the only original franchise still playing without a title — knows that nothing is guaranteed in their upcoming sixth Finals appearance.

"We haven't done anything yet," a fired up Ionescu said after Sunday's win. "We're three wins away, and that’s really important to understand. We got to come out and we got to punch because nothing has been given to us yet."

How to watch the Liberty in the 2024 WNBA Finals

Game 1 of the best-of-five Finals tips off in Brooklyn at 8 PM ET on Thursday. Live coverage will air on ESPN.

View this post on Instagram

A post shared by Just Women’s Sports (@justwomenssports)

Connecticut forces winner-take-all Game 5 against Minnesota

After Friday's home-court loss to Minnesota, the Sun tied up their semifinal series with a come-from-behind 92-82 win on Sunday, forcing a winner-take-all Game 5.

Trailing by seven points at the break, Connecticut staged a second-half comeback. The Sun outscored the Lynx 49-32 to keep their first-ever WNBA title dream alive.

Ty Harris led Connecticut with a career-high 20 points in her post-injury return to the starting lineup. Four of her teammates also put up double-digits: Alyssa Thomas and DeWanna Bonner each had 18 points and eight rebounds, while DiJonai Carrington and Marina Mabrey added 15 and 10 points, respectively.

2024 Defensive Player of the Year Napheesa Collier, who led the Lynx with a 29-point, 13-rebound double-double, said her team needs to step it up when the series moves back to Minnesota on Tuesday.

"We have to go home and defend our home court. We're both playing for our lives, so we have to play with that level of intensity," Collier said after the loss.

How to watch Sun vs. Lynx in Game 5 of the 2024 WNBA semifinals

The Sun and Lynx will tip off Game 5 in Minneapolis at 8 PM ET on Tuesday. Live coverage will air on ESPN2.