A'ja Wilson's grip on the 2026 WNBA MVP award race keeps tightening. The Las Vegas Aces star is sitting at -1400 (a 93% implied probability) as she chases a fifth trophy — and the latest WNBA betting odds suggest few other players are gaining ground.
Minnesota Rookie Olivia Miles Only Threat to A'ja Wilson's MVP Odds
Still, one name is keeping the conversation interesting.
Olivia Miles's MVP odds with the Minnesota Lynx (+900) make her the the awards race's only other real contender. If she pulls off the upset, she'd become the first rookie to win the award since Candace Parker did it back in 2008.
Beyond the top prize, the rest of the WNBA awards picture is just as lopsided.
How the Rest of the WNBA Awards Race is Shaping Up
Golden State's Gabby Williams has overtaken Wilson for Defensive Player of the Year at -125, while forward Jessica Shepard (-450) has Most Improved Player all but locked up. She's averaging 14.4 points, 11.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists in the best season of her career — and her first with the Dallas Wings.
Meanwhile, Lynx head coach Cheryl Reeve (-1000) is a near-guarantee to add a fifth Coach of the Year award to her decorated résumé. Her rookie point guard's rise coupled with the ways she's managed Napheesa Collier's injury concerns has a lot to do with that.
With the league returning to close out the regular season this week, all eyes will be on individual player stats to settle key races.