With the WNBA playoffs fast approaching, there’s a three-way battle for the eighth and final playoff spot between the Washington Mystics, the New York Liberty and the Los Angeles Sparks.

Currently, FiveThirtyEight rates the Mystics’ chances of making the playoffs at 71 percent. The Sparks’ chances jumped up slightly to 11 percent following the Liberty’s loss to the Sun on Wednesday and their own win over the Dream on Thursday. Meanwhile, the Liberty’s chances dropped from 26 to 18 percent.

While the Mystics are clearly in charge of their own destiny, a loss on Friday could shake things up. Just Women’s Sports lays out the different scenarios that could result in any one of the three teams securing the final playoff spot.

Scenario 1: The Mystics defeat the Liberty

This is the scenario that seems the most likely. The Liberty are currently on an eight-game skid following a loss to the Connecticut Sun. Having won their past two games, the Mystics are holding onto the eighth and final playoff spot, sitting a half game ahead of the Sparks at 12-18.

The Mystics automatically clinch the final playoff spot with a win Friday night. Even if the Sparks win on Sunday, the Mystics beat them based on head-to-head since the Mystics went 2-1 against the Sparks this season.

If the Mystics also beat the Minnesota Lynx on Sunday, they could jump up to No. 7 and push the Dallas Wings into the eighth spot.

Scenario 2: The Mystics Lose their last two, Los Angeles wins Sunday

Los Angeles hasn’t missed the playoffs since 2011 and has only missed the playoffs four times in the league’s 25-year history. They’re still alive following a must-win victory on Thursday over the Atlanta Dream, but even if they win on Sunday they’re still on the outside looking in. They’ll be looking to the Mystics to lose their last two in order to make the playoffs.

Even if the Mystics jump the Wings, the Sparks lose in a tiebreaker with the Wings as well. Depending on how the Mystics-Liberty game goes, Sunday is a must-win game. Additionally, they have to hope Washington loses on Sunday in order to earn the eighth and final spot.

Scenario 3: The Mystics lose their last two, Los Angeles loses Sunday

The most wild of all the scenarios will become a possibility only if the Liberty can end their skid against Washington. If they win on Friday, and both the Mystics and the Sparks follow that up with a loss, the Liberty will make the playoffs.

With all three teams finishing at 12-20 in this scenario, the Liberty own the tiebreaker. In head-to-head matchups this season, the Liberty own a 3-2 record, with the Mystics 3-3 and the Sparks 2-3.

The Washington Mystics take on the New York Liberty on Friday at 7 p.m. ET.

The WNBA is back in action on Tuesday night, as the Indiana Fever and Seattle Storm headline a series of games that could make or break the current trajectories of several 2025 title contenders.

Seeking an especially strong Tuesday performance is the Fever, as Indiana tries to snap a two-game losing streak against the increasingly confident Storm.

"There are going to be stretches that are really good and there's going to be stretches that aren't as good," Fever guard Caitlin Clark said on Sunday, addressing her recent shooting slump.

While the Indiana and Seattle clash will lead the Tuesday charge, the night will also see young squads sizing up WNBA juggernauts as bottom-table teams look for a leg up:

• No. 8 Indiana Fever vs. No. 5 Seattle Storm, 10 PM ET (NBA TV): The Fever need a win against a Storm side that can't seem to lose, as both teams eye the postseason.

• No. 1 Minnesota Lynx vs. No. 9 Washington Mystics, 8 PM ET (WNBA League Pass): The up-and-coming Mystics will attempt to hand the Lynx a second season loss, as Minnesota star Napheesa Collier remains day-to-day with lower back stiffness.

• No. 4 Atlanta Dream vs. No. 12 Dallas Wings, 8 PM ET (WNBA League Pass): The Dream are on a tear, surging up the standings as the struggling Wings attempt to take flight.

• No. 10 LA Sparks vs. No. 11 Chicago Sky, 8 PM ET (NBA TV): The Sparks have cooled after a hot start while the Sky has yet to rev up, with both teams aiming to end a three-game losing streak on Tuesday night.

Teams across the league are hoping to make the most of every minute while also managing injury concerns and absences as the WNBA All-Star break looms.

The WNBA Class of 2025 is already making its mark on the league, with first-year players stepping up and showing out while the Rookie of the Year race — and betting odds — heat up.

No. 1 draft pick Paige Bueckers has been just as good as advertised, with the Dallas Wings guard leading her class in both minutes played and points per game while also charting league-wide in assists per game, steals per game, and mid-range shots made.

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DraftKings currently has Bueckers as the clear WNBA Rookie of the Year race frontrunner at -1,000, though the dynamic DC duo of guard Sonia Citron (+1,500) and forward Kiki Iriafen (+1,000) are quickly gaining traction.

Iriafen won May's WNBA Rookie of the Month award after a series of career-opening double-doubles, while her Washington Mystics teammate Citron has continued to execute in the clutch — most recently posting a career-high double-double performance of 27 points and 11 rebounds in last Sunday's 91-88 overtime win over Dallas.

"Not only is [Iriafen] holding her own, she's excelling," Citron told JWS earlier this month. "And seeing that is just incredible."

"Soni just does all the little things," Iriafen added. "She doesn't shortcut anything, she's doing the fundamentals, she doesn't cheat the game at all."

Though the NWSL hit the pause button this week, players worldwide are still on the move, as both European and US soccer teams use the midseason break to sharpen their lineups with international signings.

The NWSL has already seen one major departure, with the San Diego Wave announcing Monday that forward María Sánchez will return to her former Liga MX club UANL Tigres after nearly five years in the NWSL, with the Wave set to receive an undisclosed transfer fee in return.

"When the opportunity came to return to Tigres, I had to do a lot of inner searching, and I ultimately decided that returning to Liga MX Femenil and Tigres specifically was the best course of action for my career," the 29-year-old dual citizen and Mexico international player said in the Wave's release.

NWSL clubs are also setting their sights on European free agents, with the Washington Spirit bringing in Juventus forward Sofia Cantore last week — the first Italian signing in league history.

Also hopping aboard the player transaction carousel is new WSL side London City, with the top-flight debutantes inking OL Lyonnes midfielder and Dutch international Daniëlle van de Donk on Friday.

Meanwhile, van de Donk's wife and club teammate Ellie Carpenter is also potentially WSL-bound, with the defender reportedly nearing a deal that would see the Australian join Chelsea FC in return for the Blues sending Canadian international Ashley Lawrence to OL Lyonnes.

For their part, OL Lyonnes picked up defender Ingrid Engen from Barcelona as a free agent last week, adding the Norwegian international after snagging French forward and PSG's all-time leading scorer Marie-Antoinette Katoto earlier this month.

With the most recent NWSL CBA abolishing traditional trade windows, expect even more international signings and roster reshufflings before the league resumes play on August 1st.

San Diego is paying tribute to one of their own, with the Wave announcing plans to retire the No. 13 jersey of NWSL and USWNT legend Alex Morgan on September 7th.

Still topping the team's all-time scoring leaderboard with 23 goals in just over two seasons with San Diego, the retired club captain will be the first-ever Wave player to receive the prestigious honor.

Morgan also led San Diego to the 2023 NWSL Shield as well as postseason appearances in the 2022 expansion club's first two seasons.

"Alex's legacy goes far beyond goals and accolades. She helped lay the foundation for this club and elevated the standard for what women's soccer is today," said Wave FC governor Lauren Leichtman in the team's Tuesday announcement.

"She made this city her home, inspired our fans and community, and helped define who we are," Leichtman continued. "Her impact will be felt for generations, and it's only fitting that her number becomes a permanent part of Wave FC history." 

Morgan joined the Southern California squad's ownership group just last month, saying "San Diego is where I've built my home, where I am raising my children, and found a purpose beyond my playing career."

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How to attend the San Diego jersey retirement of Alex Morgan

San Diego will officially retire Morgan's No. 13 jersey during their home match against the Houston Dash at 8 PM ET on September 7th.

Tickets to the game will go on sale to the general public online at 6 PM ET on Tuesday.